The worst possible outcome ensues for SEA teams on the first day of Bali Major as they net zero wins in their home turf.
It has been a difficult year of Dota for Southeast Asian (SEA) teams and their fans. With nothing to show for besides a third place finish by Talon Esports at Lima Major, SEA is perhaps the weakest region in 2023. Bali Major is the last chance for the SEA region to turn things around for the better. Unfortunately, the first day of the group stage on June 29 went awry with SEA teams netting zero wins.
Both Execration and Blacklist International conceded 2-0s today to Invictus Gaming and Team Liquid respectively. Worse, Bleed Esports lost two series to Quest Esports and PSG LGD. The region as a whole went a grand total of 0-8 on the opening day of Bali Major. As it stands, all SEA teams are sitting at the bottom of the group stage standings.
The SEA struggle
Currently, Talon Esports is the only SEA team that will likely secure direct placement at The International 2023 (TI12). Even so, there is still a small chance that they might not make it depending on how Bali Major goes. Since they are not in the tournament, Talon is stuck with their 1,120 Dota Pro Circuit (DPC) points. The current DPC standings show that the cutoff for direct TI12 invite is at 760 points with BetBoom Team on the line. Assuming BetBoom exits early, Execration and Bleed need to get at least a 7th-8th place finish to even have a chance for an invite. Blacklist, on the other hand, has to secure fourth place.
These predictions have not considered results by Team Aster, nouns and Invictus Gaming which could affect how things play out. Either way, all SEA teams face a worrisome situation in securing their spots for TI12. In fact, there is a possibility that no SEA teams will receive direct invites to TI12. This will occur if all SEA teams at Bali Major do not meet their minimum placement requirements while Team Aster and nouns reach grand finals.
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Bali Major Results and Effect on DPC Standings
The following table estimates where each team at Bali Major (excluding Talon Esports and TSM) will end up on the DPC ranking based on the tournament results. Data by Liquipedia.
Teams Current DPC Points 7th-8th 5th-6th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st | Team Liquid 1600 1900 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 | Gaimin Gladiators 1540 1840 1940 1990 2040 2090 2140 | Evil Geniuses 1470 1770 1870 1920 1970 2020 2070 | Shopify Rebellion 1170 1470 1570 1620 1670 1720 1770 | Tundra Esports 1160 1460 1560 1610 1660 1710 1760 | Talon Esports 1120 1120 1120 1120 1120 1120 1120 | 9Pandas 1096 1396 1496 1546 1596 1646 1696 | Team Spirit 1020 1320 1420 1470 1520 1570 1620 | TSM 900 900 900 900 900 900 900 | PSG.LGD 884 1184 1284 1334 1384 1434 1484 | beastcoast 800 1100 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 | BetBoom Team 760 1060 1160 1210 1260 1310 1360 | Execration 740 1040 1140 1190 1240 1290 1340 | Team Aster 608 908 1008 1058 1108 1158 1208 | nouns 580 880 980 1030 1080 1130 1180 | Bleed Esports 500 800 900 950 1000 1050 1100 | Invictus Gaming 460 760 860 910 960 1010 1060 | Blacklist International 380 680 780 830 880 930 980 | Quest Esports 232 532 632 682 732 782 832 | Azure Ray 100 400 500 550 600 650 700 |
Still a lot of games left for SEA to turn things around at Bali Major
Bali Major may look bleak for SEA fans right now. However, it is only the first day of Bali Major. There are plenty of games left to be played and SEA teams still have plenty opportunity to rally and get some wins in. So don't lose hope just yet!
Stay tuned to esports.gg for the latest Dota 2 news and updates.
